The world’s media are reporting that the Iranian regime is ready to refuse to attack Israel if Israel agrees to make concessions to Hamas and accepts a deal that includes an end to the war. Moreover, Iran is even willing to send a representative to negotiate such a cessation of war.
Firstly, this clearly shows that the proposed deal, much less an end to the war, is bad for Israel and therefore desirable to our enemies.
But, in addition, it also shows that the regime in Tehran sees the damage that such a withdrawal of the promised threats (and even just talking about it) will inevitably do to its sovereignty and prestige as less than the damage that its continued (albeit not as fast as we would like) elimination of Hamas in Gaza is doing to it.
In very simple terms, the extremist ayatollah regime is now willing to sacrifice its reputation (those who are responsible for their words and carry out their threats) in order to save Hamas — one of its most important instruments of war (along with Hizbullah, the Houthis and other Middle Eastern terrorist groups) to destroy Israel — from ultimate collapse.
This pretence is quite obvious — Iran will „give in“ to Israel, but it will save Hamas from annihilation and have the opportunity to rebuild it. After all, the deal requires the abandonment of Netanyahu’s „red lines,“ i.e., it seeks an Israeli retreat from the Strip’s border with Egypt (the „Philadelphia Axis“), from the Netzarim corridor dividing the Strip into two parts, etc.
In other words, the deal will allow Hamas to regain its foothold in the Gaza Strip and attempt to destroy Israel again in the future. Therefore, Israel should not agree to a deal that is terrible for it under any circumstances!
We should continue and intensify the war against Hamas. Nothing will bring the release of our hostages closer than our military pressure to eliminate Hamas as a threat. The same is true for the situation in the north — only tough military action against Hizbullah, at least forcing it to retreat northwards across the Litani River, will bring us peace.
Of course, contrary to the speculation of irresponsible journalists and politicians that Iran might refuse to attack, the Israel Defence Forces remain on maximum alert.
Clearly, if we hesitate, we could fall into a trap and miss a heavy blow. We must hope that this time our enemies will not be able to take Israel by surprise.
Our defence system is indeed on unprecedented alert, with the army reporting a doubling of the number of drones barreling over Lebanon, warplanes in the sky over Beirut and southern Lebanon, monitoring every movement on the surface, preventing and eliminating possible threats. We are also talking, of course, about the Mossad’s network of agents, and the electronic intelligence of AMAN unit 8200, detecting, listening to and decrypting the many electronic signals on the airwaves and networks.
In short, Israel is now on maximum alert (and yes, American forces are in the region, though they came more to try to keep us from a pre-emptive and crushing strike). So it is to Iran’s and Hizbullah’s advantage to spread soothing hints now, hoping to secure a disastrous deal for Israel that will preserve Hamas and deprive Israel of all the advantages it has achieved at a heavy military cost.
Let’s hope that the government realises this too, and therefore remains ready for any development, despite the Iranians’ claims that they are ready to „refuse to respond if the negotiations to end the war are successful“.
There is an additional nuance here. It is possible that Iran has received notice from Israel that unlike the situation in April (when Gantz and Eisenkot, who were then in the government from the inside, and Biden from the outside, were stopping the government from taking decisive action against its enemies), the situation is completely different now (when the leftists have left the government and the Democrat administration is trying not to lose the election and is limited in its actions against Israel). An Iranian attack could lead to Israel’s retaliatory elimination of the Iranian nuclear project and the Iranian economy (through the destruction of oil infrastructure, as has already happened in the Yemeni port of Hudeida). This would almost inevitably lead to the collapse of the Iranian regime under the blows of the domestic opposition. So the ayatollahs in Tehran are now trying to figure out a way out of the trap they have driven themselves into.
In any case, it should be remembered that by the grace of the Almighty, blessed be His name, time is working for us — our defence and offensive capabilities are being strengthened, which in turn leads to the deterrence of our enemies, who are forced to reconsider their actions and even abandon the promised threats.
We, in turn, are reminded once again of the promise of the Lubavitcher Rebbe King Moshiach: „The Land of Israel is the safest place in the world!“